If
Rafael
Nadal is
going to
capture
his
third
Wimbledon
singles
championship
over the
next two
weeks,
he is
going to
need to
reach
back
with all
of his
resources
to get
an
exceedingly
difficult
job
done. In
the
third
round,
Nadal
figures
to take
on the
dangerous
Milos
Raonic,
the 6’5”
Canadian
with one
of the
game’s
most
daunting
serves.
Raonic
is
seeded
31st
after a
remarkable
first
half of
2011,
and he
will
test
Nadal
with the
ferocity
of that
delivery
and an
overpowering
ground
game as
well.
Raonic
will
turn
this
contest
into
something
of real
value
for the
spectators,
but
Nadal
will
eventually
pick him
apart in
four
tough
sets to
make it
to the
fourth
round.
Waiting
for him
then
will be
the 2009
U.S.
Open
champion
Juan
Martin
Del
Potro,
and the
Spaniard
will
need to
be in
excellent
form to
prevail.
Del
Potro is
not
quite
back to
the
level he
reached
when he
toppled
Roger
Federer
in a
five set
final at
Flushing
Meadows
two
years
ago, but
he is
swiftly
moving
back to
that
lofty
level.
Del
Potro
will
hold his
own with
Nadal
from the
baseline,
and
Nadal
will
need to
keep
pounding
his
forehand
with
extraordinary
depth to
prevent
the
Argentine
from
stepping
in to
blast
winners
off his
two-handed
backhand.
Moreover,
Nadal
must be
careful
not to
allow
Del
Potro to
dictate
off his
explosive
forehand,
which is
one of
the
game’s
most
formidable
weapons.
The way
I see
it, this
match
has five
sets
written
all over
it. In
the end,
Nadal’s
mental
toughness
and
unrelenting
intensity
will
pull him
though
6-4 in
the
final
set.
The hard
work
will not
be over.
In the
quarters,
Nadal
will
meet
either
No. 6
seed, or
more
likely
No. 10
seed
Mardy
Fish of
the U.S.
Fish has
never
done
himself
justice
on the
grass at
Wimbledon.
It is a
surface
that
suits
his
attacking
game to
the
hilt,
although
the
courts
are
slower
now than
they
used to
be. Fish
will
take the
opening
set from
Nadal
with his
best
attacking
play,
and some
searing
backhand
returns.
But
Nadal
will
gather
himself,
start
swinging
his
slice
serve
wider
and
wider in
the Ad
court,
and
begin
finding
the
range
with his
returns.
Nadal
will
take
this one
in four
sets.
His
opponent
in the
semifinals
will be
none
other
than
Andy
Murray.
This
will be
a
rematch
of a
2010
semifinal,
which
Nadal
won in
straight
sets.
Murray
will
have his
share of
tough
battles
en route
to an
appointment
with
Nadal.
He will
face No.
27 seed
Marin
Cilic in
the
third
round,
and that
will
result
in a
four set
win for
the No.
4 seed.
In the
round of
16, he
will
take on
either
Richard
Gasquet
or
Stanislas
Wawrinka.
The
guess
here is
that
Gasquet
will be
Murray’s
opponent
in that
round.
Three
years
ago, he
served
for a
straight
set win
over
Murray
before
losing
in five
crackling
sets.
Gasquet
is
playing
great
tennis
these
days,
and he
will
push
Murray
in some
sparkling
rallies
from the
outset
of the
contest.
In the
end,
Murray
will
overcome
Gasquet
with a
mixture
of
aggression
off the
ground
and some
timely
defense.
Murray’s
first
serve
will
make the
difference
as he
wins in
four
sets. He
will
then
repeat
his
Queen’s
Club win
over
Andy
Roddick,
toppling
the
American
in a
straight
set
quarterfinal.
In the
Nadal-Murray
semifinal,
the
level of
play
will be
astounding
at
times.
Murray
will not
hold
back
from the
baseline
and will
look to
conclude
points
early
with
flattened
out
forehands
and
two-handed
backhands.
He will
serve
clusters
of aces.
But
Nadal
will be
ready
for the
barrage
that
will
inevitably
be
thrown
at him.
On the
big
points,
Nadal
will
have the
edge,
and he
will
prevail
from a
set
down,
winning
in four
sets.
On the
opposite
half of
the
draw,
there
will be
less
drama.
No. 2
seed
Novak
Djokovic
has an
uncluttered
path
into the
quarterfinals,
when he
will
meet No.
5 seed
Robin
Soderling.
After a
first
round
scare
with
Philipp
Petzschner,
Soderling
will get
into a
good
rhythm
and
storm
into the
last
eight.
But
Djokovic
will
methodically
dispose
of the
Swede in
straight
sets.
Roger
Federer’s
draw is
largely
favorable,
but he
could
and
should
meet
John
Isner in
the
fourth
round.
Ironically,
Isner
will
play
Nicolas
Mahut in
the
opening
round as
they
reprise
their
first
round
duel of
2010
that
Isner
won
70-68 in
the
fifth
set over
eleven
hours
and five
minutes.
But
Isner
will win
more
comfortably
this
time.
Against
Federer,
Isner
will
push the
six time
champion
hard,
but he
doesn’t
have the
returns
to worry
the
Swiss
over the
long
run.
Federer
prevails
in four
sets to
reach
the
quarterfinals.
The
seedings
indicate
that
Federer
should
take on
No. 7
seed
David
Ferrer,
but I
believe
he will
confront
No. 12
seed Jo-Wilfried
Tsonga
instead.
Tsonga
played
very
well at
Queen’s
Club and
has a
terrific
grass
court
game. A
first
rate
athlete
with a
top of
the line
first
serve,
good
feel on
the
volley,
and a
gigantic
forehand,
Tsonga
will put
Federer
in a
bind,
moving
ahead by
a set
and a
break.
But
Federer
will
salvage
the
second
set in a
close
tie-break,
and he
will
break
down
Tsonga’s
backhand
to win
in four
sets.
And so
it will
be
Djokovic
against
Federer
for the
fourth
consecutive
time in
a Grand
Slam
tournament
semifinal.
Djokovic
won the
first
two of
those
meetings
at the
2010
U.S.
Open
(saving
two
match
points
in a
five set
triumph)
and then
Federer
upended
the
Serbian
in four
sets at
Roland
Garros a
few
weeks
ago,
ending
Djokovic’s
43 match
winning
streak
in the
process.
This
time
around,
both men
will be
primed
for a
blockbuster
of an
appointment.
Djokovic
will be
the
surer of
the two
men from
the
baseline,
which
was not
the case
in
Paris.
He will
be much
more
solid
this
time off
the
forehand,
and will
use his
two-handed
backhand
down the
line
more
frequently
than he
did in
Paris.
Federer
will be
finding
the
corners
with
regularity
on his
serve,
and
stepping
around
convincingly
to make
his
trademark
inside-out
forehand.
Every
set will
be close
and hard
fought.
Neither
man will
be
giving
away
much
ground.
The
match
will be
played
at a
high
level.
Djokovic
will
take the
first
set in a
tie-break,
but
Federer
will
rally to
win the
second,
7-5.
Djokovic
will get
an early
break in
the
third
and win
that set
6-4, but
Federer
once
more
will
bounce
back to
take the
fourth
in
another
tie-break.
Early in
the
fifth,
Federer
will
lead
2-0, but
Djokovic
will
then
raise
his
level
considerably,
especially
off his
returns.
Djokovic
will
move
past
Federer
in a
dandy,
7-6(4),
5-7,
6-4,
6-7(5),
6-3.
That
will put
Djokovic
and
Nadal
into
their
fifth
head to
head
meeting
in a
final
this
year.
Djokovic
won the
previous
four
times,
and he
will put
himself
in a
position
to be
the
victor
again in
this
Centre
Court
showdown.
The
Serbian
will
dictate
almost
entirely
in the
early
stages,
and he
will win
the
first
set. The
second
set will
be
fought
out
fiercely
before
Nadal
turns
the
corner
to win
it, 7-5.
Nadal
will
then
play his
best
tennis
of the
match in
the
third,
taking
his
forehand
down the
line
more
often to
keep
Djokovic
off
balance
and on
the run,
serving
with
greater
pace and
precision.
Nadal
will win
the
third
set 6-3.
But
Djokovic
will
roar
back in
the
fourth,
and
sweep
through
it 6-1
with
some
spectacular
ball
striking
and
strategic
serving.
His wide
slice
serve in
the
deuce
court
will
give
Nadal
constant
problems.
And yet,
in the
fifth
set,
with
everything
on the
line, it
will be
Nadal
who
steps it
up and
raises
the bar.
He will
take
more
chances
on his
returns,
go for
his
backhand
crosscourt
with
more
pace,
and
start
moving
around
to
unleash
his
fearsome
inside-out
forehand.
Djokovic
will not
be able
to stop
the
onslaught.
Nadal
will
remain
unbeaten
at
Wimbledon
since
2007,
coming
through
4-6,
7-5,
6-3,
1-6,
6-4.
As for
the
women,
the
quarters
are
projected
to play
out this
way: No.
1 seed
Caroline
Wozniacki
against
No. 5
Maria
Sharapova;
No. 3 Li
Na
versus
No. 7
Serena
Williams;
No. 4
Victoria
Azarenka
against
No. 6
Francesca
Schiavone;
and No.
2 seed
and 2010
finalist
Vera
Zvonareva
facing
No. 8
seed
Petra
Kvitova.
Wozniacki,
however,
will
struggle
as
always
to beat
Julia
Georges
(the No.
16 seed)
in the
round of
16. She
will get
through
that
match in
three
sets,
but
Sharapova
will cut
her down
in
straight
sets.
Serena
Williams
will
have a
rough
battle
on her
hands in
the
round of
16
against
Marion
Bartoli,
but
Serena
will win
in three
sets.
But the
French
Open
champion
will not
be
intimidated
by
facing a
Serena
who is
still
not back
in peak
form
after
being
gone
from the
game for
nearly a
year.
The
French
Open
champion
will
upend
Serena
win
three
sets.
And so
it will
be Li Na
against
Sharapova
in a
repeat
of a
recent
French
Open
semifinal,
which Li
won in
straight
sets.
This
time
around,
Sharapova
will be
much
happier
in the
grass,
and she
will be
victorious
in
straight
sets. On
the
bottom
half of
the
draw,
Venus
Williams
will
defeat
both
Jelena
Jankovic
(the No.
15
seed),
and No.
2 seed
Zvonareva,
but she
will
lose to
the
left-handed
Kvitova.
In the
semifinals,
Kvitova
will
surprise
Azarenka,
winning
in three
sets.
But
Kvitova
will not
be able
to hold
back the
2004
Wimbledon
champion.
Sharapova
will
stay
away
from
Kvitova’s
forehand
as often
as
possible,
and her
first
serve
potency
and
accuracy
will
carry
her to a
6-4,
3-6, 6-2
triumph.
For the
second
time,
Maria
Sharapova
will be
the
Wimbledon
singles
champion.
She will
garner
her
first
Grand
Slam
singles
title
since
the
Australian
Open of
2008,
and
secure
her
fourth
major
overall.